{
  "version": 1,
  "article": {
    "path": "hawkes-itch-nanosecond-ties-likelihood",
    "title": "同一纳秒记录了 114 条执行事件：Hawkes 似然哪里容易算错？",
    "locale": "zh-cn",
    "canonical": "https://vxi.me/posts/hawkes-itch-nanosecond-ties-likelihood/",
    "markdown": "https://vxi.me/posts/hawkes-itch-nanosecond-ties-likelihood.md"
  },
  "verification": {
    "level": "first-party",
    "verified_at": "2026-10-31T00:00:00.000Z",
    "summary": "114 条人工反例与 13 项公开复现测试；AAPL 数据是历史聚合，并非真实 Hawkes 拟合或样本外预测。",
    "environments": [
      "Python 3.13.5; Linux x86_64; historical synthetic research tests",
      "Python 3 standard-library public reproducer and aggregated histogram"
    ],
    "evidence_mode": "mixed"
  },
  "public_sources": {
    "repository": null,
    "run": null
  }
}